England’s World Cup Chances

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It’s been a roller-coaster ride for punters since the book opened in 2011 for the 2018 World Cup.
In a week of surprises, you might be shocked to learn that betting opened on England winning The World Cup, way back in 2011.
With major upsets, seemingly becoming the norm, what do the bookmakers think of the chances, and how have they changed?
england_odds_timeline
 The timeline above tells the story according to NetBet. Back in August 2011, England were 5th favourite to lift the trophy in 2018 when their chances were assessed at 14/1.

Things have gone downhill from there as the graph shows, reaching their nadir in 2014 when they crashed out of that year’s World Cup in the group stages.

Optimism increased after they beat Germany 3-2, away in March 2016 with odds shortening to 16-1 but a combination of defeat to Iceland in this years Euros, coupled with the appointment of Sam Allardyce saw them once again at 24/1.

Interestingly, Sam’s sacking, two months later did nothing to lift their prospects with the bookies and as it stands, they are still 22/1.

Perhaps surprisingly, that makes them eighth favourite, so maybe worth a punt after all.

It’s not been plain sailing for other International teams either. Spain has drifted from 5/1 to 9/1, likewise Brazil is also now at 9/1 and The Netherlands has fallen to 26/1 from a high of 14/1.

Going the other way, Wales who have come from a 1000/1 starting position in 2011 to 95/1 now. Outside chance it might be but it’s worth remembering, in this week of upsets, that Donald Trump started his run for President at odds of 250/1.

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