Wimbledon: Why don’t Brits back Murray?

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With Wimbledon starting on Monday and Andy Murray playing fellow Brit Liam Broady and Novak Djokovic also playing wildcard British player James Ward, the UK is at least assured of one home-grown player going through to round two.

But the question remains, when it comes to supporting British tennis players, do British punters put their money where their mouth is or does that reluctance transfer into good value where the odds are concerned?

British bookmaker NetBet currently has Andy Murray at 11/4 in other words they think Murray has a 26.6% chance of winning. Djokovic, who recently destroyed Murray in the French Open Final, is priced at 10/13 i.e he has a 56% chance of winning.

So where is the value for tennis punters? Let’s look at a few pertinent statistics.

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic is favourite to win the men’s title (by Marianne Bevis)

Of the last 45 Grand Slam men’s singles titles, 41 have been won by members of the “Big Four” of Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, Andy Murray and Rafael Nadal.

No one has won five grand slams in a row since Donald Budge in 1938, in other words nobody in the ‘Open Era’ which began in 1968.

Murray has reunited with Ivan Lendl as his coach, Lendl is heralded as the architect of Murray’s success at Wimbledon in 2013 when he lifted the Men’s title.

Is Andy Murray overvalued?

NetBet spokesman Alexandre Mangaud said: “Bookmaking is a science rather than an art. Prices move depending on the form of the player obviously, but also can shift depending on the volume of betting on a particular player.

“If Andy Murray seems like a good value bet to you, then that’s partly because there are relatively few people here in the UK that agree with you.”

Are the odds on Murray longer in the UK because the British don’t bet on British players? Well in Tennis it certainly looks that way.

Football, however, is a different story, one of the UK’s leading bookmakers have announced recently that they stand to lose £1m per England win during the Euro 2016 opening half.

While the volumes are much higher, it seems that Football fans have a much more emotional response to their punting.

There is a thought that to not bet on your own team is somehow disloyal, hence the high volumes bet on England to win however unlikely it may be – NetBet are currently offering odds of 37/4.

Somehow UK Tennis fans don’t seem to want to believe in their home-grown heroes and while they might cheer Andy on during his Wimbledon campaign, their faith in him doesn’t go as far as putting their hands in their pocket, which is a shame as in his present form,

it could be British punters losing out, rather than the UK number one.

Wimbledon betting odds from NetBet

  • Novak Djokovic – 10/13
  • Andy Murray – 11/4
  • Roger Federer – 12/1
  • Milos Raonic – 15/1
  • Nick Kyrgios – 20/1
  • Stanislas Wawrinka – 25/1
  • Dominic Thiem – 30/1
  • Kei Nishikori – 55/1

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