The French Open starts on Sunday May 22 at the Stade Roland Garros in Paris. Two weeks of intense action for tennis fans will culminate in the Men’s Final with €2m for the winner.
With the news that Roger Federer will be missing his first Grand Slam event since turning professional, the Big Four just became three.
According to NetBet the Favourite is Novak Djokovic at 20/31 with Rafael Nadal, a nine times winner, at 15/4 and Britain’s Andy Murray following his win in Rome starting with his best ever odds for Paris at 4/1, a couple of months ago he was at 14/1.
Stan Wawrinka, the 2015 surprise winner started last year’s tournament at 16/1, this year the defending champion is at 14/1.
So where is the value for tennis punters? Lets look at a few pertinent statistics.
- 40 of the last 44 Grand Slam men’s singles titles have been won by members of the’Big Four of Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, Andy Murray and Rafael Nadal.
- On Clay, Murray has a win rate of 85.7% in 2016 against Nadal’s 82.6% and Djokovic’s 81.8%.
- Also on Clay in 2016, Murray has won one and lost one against both Nadal and Djokovic, while Nadal and Djokovic have only met once and Nadal won.
French Open betting preview: Is Murray overvalued?
NetBet spokesman Alexandre Mangaud said: “Bookmaking is a science rather than an art, prices move depending on the form of the player obviously, but also can shift depending on the volume of betting on a particular player.
“If Andy Murray seems like a good value bet to you, then that’s partly because there are relatively few people here in the UK that agree with you.”
Are the odds on Murray longer here in the UK because the British don’t bet on British players? Well in Tennis it certainly looks that way.
Football however is a different story, one of the UK’s leading bookmakers have announced recently that they stand to lose £1m per England win during the Euro 2016 opening half. While the volumes are much higher, it seems that Football fans have a much more emotional response to their punting.
There is a thought that to not bet on your own team is somehow disloyal, hence the high volumes bet on England to win however unlikely it may be – NetBet are currently offering odds of 8/1.
Somehow, UK Tennis fans don’t seem to want to believe in their home-grown heroes and while they might cheer Andy on during his Parisian Odyssey, their faith in him doesn’t go as far as putting their hands in their pocket, which is a shame as in his present form, it could be British punters losing out rather than the UK number one.